Sunday, October 28, 2012

Definitely a more diplomatic vocabulary. 2008 = top, there we agree; 2009 = lower than 2008, here w

The real estate bubble is no longer taboo | financial periscope
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In the first half of last year was the term housing bubble in our complete taboo. Nepremičninarji at that time, in newspapers and on TV trobezljali of up to 3 to 5% further fall in prices and the fact that demand is strengthening again. Last year, however, demonstrated that Slovenia does not live on another planet, where normal laws do not apply. For a sense look at the consequences poki had housing bubbles in other countries in the recent past.
Today also is the source for this information last week, the broad market book This Time is Different. On page 160 the author show a table that contains some of the countries in which it has developed a housing bubble, when it appeared the top price, how many years have passed to the progress of local bed and what is the average drop from top to bottom later. Country Year-end top to bottom Duration in decline as a percentage Finland 1989 Norway 6 -50.4 -41.5 Spain 1987 5 1978 4 1990 4 Sweden -33.3 -31.7 -58.9 Hong Kong Indonesia 1997 6 1994 5 Malaysia real estate nova scotia 1996 3 -49.9 -19.0 -53.0 1997 7 Philippines South Korea Thailand -20.4 1997 4 1995 4 1999 4 -19.9 -25.5 Argentina real estate nova scotia Colombia 1997 6 -51.2
Among the above examples from history real estate nova scotia therefore does not fall lasted less than three years, the range falls from -19.0 to -58.9%. We can say that the price peak occurred in 2008, the current decline after two years is somewhere around 20%. Given the patience banks - economically speaking - the major players in today's inventory of unsold new construction, to conclude that the decline in U.S. prices will continue.
COMPLETED 16.3. 2010: The balloons are also diametrically opposed opinions: Interview: Real-estate bubble not (Finance), but has intervjujanec Jože Anderlič strong material interest in this issue.
Published on 31 March 2010 at 15:08 | permanent link
Definitely a more diplomatic vocabulary. 2008 = top, there we agree; 2009 = lower than 2008, here we agree. For 2010 do not predict anything, but I think it will be lower than 2010 = 2009th However, this annual report fairly stylish and I konfuzno the authors of him difficult to read.
For comparison, in the U.S. this year, house prices

are falling the fifth consecutive year. Sat 2007,2008,2009,2010 calendar year ended lower than at the beginning, in 2011 currently shows the same.
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